Just another futile promise on fiscal front, Messrs PM, FM?

As the value of rupee against the dollar and the stock markets go on a free fall, the government needs to learn that mere assurances aren't enough to encourage investors

srishti

Srishti Pandey | August 19, 2013



A day after the markets went crashing down following controls put in place by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to curb capital outflows, the UPA government quickly put on its damage control boots on Saturday (August 17). While finance minister P Chidambaram claimed that steps taken by the apex bank were not “capital control” measures, prime minister Manmohan Singh assured the country that we were not looking at a crisis like 1991.

These assurances, however, do not appear good enough any more and have failed to do the trick. The markets experienced a decline again on Monday as the Sensex fell nearly 400 points. The rupee touched an all-time low of 63.22 to a dollar, falling below the 62.03 mark it had hit on Friday.

Such situations, then, make one wonder if these assurances are mere faff.

P Chidambaram’s return to the finance ministry in August last year seemed promising but that is all we have witnessed since – big promises. And that is the reason why investors have stopped listening – and even if they are, they have stopped reacting.

‘FM to come out with big bang reforms’; ‘Economy to return to growth track soon, says FM’, and the like have become regular kinds of headlines these days. The reforms may arguably be ‘big’ but the ‘bang’ they were supposed to create on the economy is definitely not loud enough. This could well be the reason why investors and markets have become indifferent to oft-made assurances and promises of the government and are increasingly adopting the ‘big deal, move one’ approach.

In the last few months, the rupee is going through a free fall, breaking one record low after another. In the last three months, it has fallen over 12 percent against the dollar, raising serious doubts on India’s ability to finance the current account deficit.

Hoping to ease the pressure on the currency, the RBI had, on August 14, reduced the limit for overseas direct investment by all domestic companies barring the state-run oil companies.

The move, however, backfired, sending the markets crashing and the rupee hitting further lows against the dollar. All this not only added volume to the ongoing cackle about the government’s inability to improve the economic situation but also strengthened investor worries which resulted in the market sentiment remaining grim even on Monday.

At a time the economy is hungry for foreign investments, analysts believe discouraging capital outflows will only weaken the trust of foreign investors. It is important to remember that trade is not a one-way traffic. Also, too many controls do not foster but act as hurdles in the quest for growth.

Reacting to the market crash, Manmohan Singh urged the country’s financial institutions to adopt a “fresh thinking” on economic policy front. And for that it is important that all our institutions are on the same page with the government.

The growth versus inflation debate between the RBI and the government is a case in point. While the apex bank wants to keep a tight check on inflation, the government, in the run-up to the 2014 general elections, is desperate for higher growth figures. As the debate continues, so does the chaos associated with it. India’s institutions need to understand that setting individual aims is necessary but this needs to be done keeping a bigger, singular goal in mind.

Till that is ensured, the government can go ahead with offering mundane assurances of reviving the economy while the other institutions will go on preparing their own to-do lists. But it is time they realised we are not going anywhere with this.

Comments

 

Other News

Report of India’s G20 Task Force on Digital Public Infrastructure released

The final ‘Report of India’s G20 Task Force on Digital Public Infrastructure’ by ‘India’s G20 Task Force on Digital Public Infrastructure for Economic Transformation, Financial Inclusion and Development’ was released in New Delhi on Monday. The Task Force was led by the

How the Great War of Mahabharata was actually a world war

Mahabharata: A World War By Gaurang Damani Sanganak Prakashan, 317 pages, Rs 300 Gaurang Damani, a Mumbai-based el

Budget expectations, from job creation to tax reforms…

With the return of the NDA to power in the recently concluded Lok Sabha elections, all eyes are now on finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s full budget for the FY 2024-25. The interim budget presented in February was a typical vote-on-accounts, allowing the outgoing government to manage expenses in

How to transform rural landscapes, design 5G intelligent villages

Futuristic technologies such as 5G are already here. While urban users are reaping their benefits, these technologies also have a potential to transform rural areas. How to unleash that potential is the question. That was the focus of a workshop – “Transforming Rural Landscape:

PM Modi visits Rosatom Pavilion at VDNKh in Moscow

Prime minister Narendra Modi, accompanied by president Vladimir Putin, visited the All Russian Exhibition Centre, VDNKh, in Moscow Tuesday. The two leaders toured the Rosatom Pavilion at VDNKh. The Rosatom pavilion, inaugurated in November 2023, is one of the largest exhibitions on the histo

Let us pledge to do what we can for environment: President

President Droupadi Murmu on Monday morning spent some time at the sea beach of the holy city of Puri, a day after participating in the annual Rath Yatra. Later she penned her thoughts about the experience of being in close commune with nature. In a message posted on X, she said:

Visionary Talk: Amitabh Gupta, Pune Police Commissioner with Kailashnath Adhikari, MD, Governance Now


Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter